Archive for the 'Finance' category

Markets, Murmurations, and Machines | Cris Sheridan | FINANCIAL SENSE

Feb 04 2012 Published by under Finance

Markets, Murmurations, and Machines | Cris Sheridan | FINANCIAL SENSE.

Fascinating article about high-frequency program trading and how it manipulates markets. It has effectively put an end to buy-and-hold (not that it was a good strategy to begin with) and fundamental investing.

This quote nearly floored me:

“..(T)he average holding time period for stocks has shrunk dramatically from just under two years to 22 seconds…”

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Gold Breaks Bearish Trendline; Key Target for Silver at $37 | Richard Russell

Feb 02 2012 Published by under Finance

Gold Breaks Bearish Trendline; Key Target for Silver at $37 | Richard Russell | FINANCIAL SENSE.

Gold is still a winner, as is silver.

Ben Bernanke’s testimony today keeps my faith in gold and silver. He will crank the presses as long as it takes, savers be damned!

QE3 is around the corner. It will happen sooner than you think. This is an election year and Obama wants to keep his cushy job for another four years. What better way to buy votes than with a bit of good ol’ stimulus? Of course it won’t work, it never does. But that won’t stop Obama from selling it to win the election.

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Congressional Budget Office reports another $1 trillion deficit

Jan 31 2012 Published by under Finance

Congressional Budget Office reports another $1 trillion deficit – David Rogers – POLITICO.com.

A trillion here, a trillion there. Pretty soon it adds up to real money!

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Online Ad Spending to Surpass Print for First Time in 2012 [STUDY]

Jan 19 2012 Published by under Finance

Online Ad Spending to Surpass Print for First Time in 2012 [STUDY].

It took a while, but finally.

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Americans raid savings, putting recovery at risk – Business – Stocks & economy – msnbc.com

Jan 18 2012 Published by under Finance, Goals

Americans raid savings, putting recovery at risk – Business – Stocks & economy – msnbc.com.

During the recession, which I believe we are still in, people saved and paid down debt. Now they are using their savings again. Recovery? What recovery?

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Consumer Spending as an American Virtue – NYTimes.com

Jan 15 2012 Published by under Finance

Consumer Spending as an American Virtue – NYTimes.com.

Economist Robert Shiller writes about the American propensity to spend, based on a new book by Sheldon Garon, “Beyond Our Means: Why America Spends While the World Saves.” He states that spending is, “shaped by deliberate government policies,” but fails to state the obvious: Federal Reserve policies.

Monetary inflation through artificially low interest rates, makes money cheap. What’s the point of saving money when there’s a real, negative return on it? Putting your money in a savings account earning 1% or less means you are losing money–after factoring in inflation–which is not accurately reported by the government.

The government and the Fed are forcing people to spend money before it loses its value as overall prices rise. If you do want to save, you have to go out further on the yield curve into riskier investments to get any positive return on your money.

I’ll probably read this book and see if there’s any mention of Federal Reserve money-printing. If there isn’t, then the author ignored the elephant in the room.

 

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U.S. Consumer Credit Rises by Most in Decades – Bloomberg

Jan 09 2012 Published by under Finance

U.S. Consumer Credit Rises by Most in Decades – Bloomberg.

Looks like consumers have paid off their debts and taken on new debt. Consumers  appear to have confidence in their future employment and income to take on new debt and make larger purchases. Bank seem willing to lend more as a result.

The question now is, will this lead to higher price inflation as banks increase their lending? Are banks starting to utilize their reserves, held at the Fed (and earning interest)? If this trend continues, watch out for inflationary pressures as the money lent out starts multiplying through the fractional reserve banking system. This will be exacerbated if the Fed plans QE3 later this year.

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Plunging prices set to trigger tech boom – FT.com

Jan 08 2012 Published by under Finance

Plunging prices set to trigger tech boom – FT.com.

This is the normal course for the market. Mass adoption of technology rises, prices fall.

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Barnes & Noble Considers Spinning Off Its Nook Unit – NYTimes.com

Jan 05 2012 Published by under Finance, Success

Barnes & Noble Considers Spinning Off Its Nook Unit – NYTimes.com.

It’s fascinating to watch what is happening with the large booksellers, make that the large–singular–bookseller. Borders couldn’t compete and shut their doors. Barnes and Noble is increasingly selling less and less physical books and more Nooks, toys, games, and stationary products. Now Barnes and Noble is considering spinning off the Nook business.

The question now is can Barnes and Noble continue to operate its flagship stores and still be profitable? The Nook business, while selling briskly and taking away market share from Amazon’s Kindle, is still not profitable. The option of spinning off the Nook would allow more time for it to become profitable as shareholders in the parent company are not that patient. They should be, but quarterly results trump long-term growth and profitability.

I don’t think the stores will last. I don’t know how long but it won’t last. Barnes and Noble have closed stores in the past due to rising rents, so it’s not out of the question if a larger number of stores close over the next few years.

I use Barnes and Noble as a shopping guide for new books, and to grab a tasty caffeinated beverage and pastry. I find a book, then buy it with my Nook app on my iPad. No waiting in line, and no paying full retail. Even after my 20-40% discount for being a Barnes and Noble loyalty member, it’s still cheaper to buy the Nook version. It’s worth it just to not have to stand in line, or pay sales tax.

I want the Nook to succeed and provide more competition to Amazon and Apple. However, they need to make the Nook tablet a full-blown Android tablet and not hobble it with a restrictive interface.

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Live Interactive Map of the Iowa Caucus

Jan 03 2012 Published by under Finance, Goals, Motivation, Success

http://www.google.com/elections/ed/us/results

Google has a nice interactive map of the Iowa Caucus. This is for entertainment value only. It won’t matter who wins. The race will be between Tweedle Dee and Tweedle Dum, Romney versus Obama. As much as it would tickle me pink to see Ron Paul win the nomination–just to stick it to the neocons–it will never happen. The Republican establishment will never let Ron Paul near the nomination. It’s been Romney from day one.

Rick Santorum could win Iowa tonight and he’ll have some momentum but Romney will easily win New Hampshire, then probably take South Carolina and Florida, thereby wrapping up the nomination by the end of the month.

Like I said, this is pure entertainment and nothing more.

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